2024 Guidance
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Hess Midstream LP expects throughput volumes in 2024 to increase by approximately 10% across gas and oil systems compared with 2023. -
Hess Midstream LP expects$670 -$720 million of net income and$1,125 -$1,175 million of Adjusted EBITDA1 in 2024, representing an approximate 12.5% increase in Adjusted EBITDA, at the midpoint of guidance, compared with 2023 supported by growing revenues and stable operating costs. -
Hess Midstream LP expects total capital expenditures of$250 -$275 million in 2024 and expects to generate approximately$115 million of Adjusted Free Cash Flow1 after distributions at the midpoint of guidance.
Long-Term Guidance
- Completed annual tariff redetermination process that established minimum volume commitments (“MVCs”) for 2026 and increased 2025 MVCs for gas and oil systems to imply annualized growth in gas throughput volumes of approximately 10% from 2024 through 2026, and continued growth in oil throughput volumes of approximately 10% in 2025 and approximately 5% in 2026.
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Hess Midstream LP expects at least 10% growth per year in net income and Adjusted EBITDA in each of 2025 and 2026, supported by already established MVCs. -
Hess Midstream LP expects capital expenditures of$250 -$275 million per year through 2026, stable compared with 2024 levels. - Adjusted Free Cash Flow is expected to grow by greater than 10% per year in 2025 and 2026, which is more than sufficient to fully fund targeted growing distributions.
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Hess Midstream LP continues to prioritize financial strength and extends its long-term leverage target of 3x Adjusted EBITDA through 2026, with leverage expected to be below 2.5x Adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2025 and to continue below this level through 2026.
Return of Capital
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Hess Midstream LP is extending and increasing its Return of Capital framework through 2026:- Targeting annual distribution per Class A share growth of at least 5% through 2026, expected to be fully funded from Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
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Greater than
$1.25 billion of financial flexibility through 2026 for incremental shareholder returns, including potential unit repurchases, expected to be funded from excess free cash flow beyond targeted distribution growth and leverage capacity compared with our long-term target of 3x Adjusted EBITDA.
“We continue to execute our strategy of making focused investments to capture increasing volumes in the Bakken,” said
Full Year 2024 Guidance
In 2024,
In 2024, full year gas gathering volumes are anticipated to average between 415 and 425 million cubic feet ("MMcf") of natural gas per day and gas processing volumes are expected to average between 395 and 405 MMcf of natural gas per day, reflecting Hess’ four-rig program in the Bakken.
Crude oil gathering volumes are anticipated to average between 105 and 115 thousand barrels ("MBbl") per day of crude oil in 2024, and crude oil terminaling volumes are expected to average between 120 and 130 MBbl of crude oil per day.
Water gathering volumes are expected to average between 105 and 115 MBbl of water per day for full year 2024.
Full Year 2024 Capital Guidance
(1) Adjusted EBITDA, Gross Adjusted EBITDA Margin and Adjusted Free Cash Flow are non‑GAAP measures. Definitions and reconciliations of these non‑GAAP measures to GAAP reporting measures appear in the following pages of this release. |
Full year 2024 guidance is summarized below:
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Year Ending |
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(Unaudited) |
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Financials (in millions) |
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Net income |
$ |
670 - 720 |
Adjusted EBITDA |
$ |
1,125 – 1,175 |
Capital expenditures |
$ |
250 - 275 |
Adjusted free cash flow |
$ |
685 - 735 |
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Year Ending |
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(Unaudited) |
Throughput volumes |
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Gas gathering - MMcf of natural gas per day |
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415 - 425 |
Crude oil gathering - MBbl of crude oil per day |
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105 - 115 |
Gas processing - MMcf of natural gas per day |
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395 - 405 |
Crude terminals - MBbl of crude oil per day |
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120 - 130 |
Water gathering - MBbl of water per day |
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105 - 115 |
Minimum Volume Commitments
As part of the annual nomination process set forth in our long-term commercial contracts, Hess’ MVCs were reviewed and updated based on Hess’ volume nominations, which are based on Hess’ expectations of its own volumes and third-party throughput volumes contracted through
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Hess Minimum Volume Commitments |
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2024 |
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2025 |
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2026 |
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Gas Gathering Agreement - MMcf of natural gas per day |
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365 |
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380 |
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412 |
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Crude Oil Gathering Agreement - MBbl of crude oil per day |
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101 |
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100 |
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105 |
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Gas Processing and Fractionation Agreement -
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340 |
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364 |
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396 |
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Terminaling and Export Services Agreement -
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114 |
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111 |
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117 |
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Water Services Agreement - MBbl of water per day |
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92 |
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99 |
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101 |
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Long-Term Financial Metrics
Supported by growth in physical volumes across gas, oil and water systems from 2024 through 2026 implied by the updated MVCs,
Adjusted Free Cash Flow is expected to grow by greater than 10% per year in 2025 and 2026, which is more than sufficient to fully fund targeted distribution growth. Long-term targeted leverage continues to be 3x Adjusted EBITDA and leverage is expected to decrease to below 2.5x Adjusted EBITDA by the end of 2025 and to continue below this level through 2026, before any potential unit repurchases as part of Hess Midstream’s Return of Capital framework.
Return of Capital Framework
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Targeting annual distribution per Class A share growth of at least 5% through 2026, expected to be fully funded from Adjusted Free Cash Flow.
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Greater than
$1.25 billion of financial flexibility through 2026 for incremental shareholder returns, including potential unit repurchases, expected to be funded from excess free cash flow beyond targeted distribution growth and leverage capacity compared with our long-term target of 3x Adjusted EBITDA.
About
Reconciliation of
In addition to our financial information presented in accordance with
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Guidance |
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Year Ending |
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(Unaudited) |
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(in millions) |
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Reconciliation of Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Free Cash Flow
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Net income |
$ |
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670 - 720 |
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Plus: |
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Depreciation expense* |
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210 |
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Interest expense, net |
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185 |
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Income tax expense |
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60 |
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Adjusted EBITDA |
$ |
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1,125 – 1,175 |
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Less: |
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Interest, net |
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180 |
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Capital expenditures** |
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260 |
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Adjusted free cash flow |
$ |
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685 - 735 |
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*Includes proportional share of equity affiliates' depreciation.
**Approximate midpoint of |
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Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-looking Information
This press release contains “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of
Forward-looking statements are based on our current understanding, assessments, estimates and projections of relevant factors and reasonable assumptions about the future. Forward-looking statements are subject to certain known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from our historical experience and our current projections or expectations of future results expressed or implied by these forward-looking statements. The following important factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those in our forward-looking statements: the ability of
As and when made, we believe that our forward-looking statements are reasonable. However, given these risks and uncertainties, caution should be taken not to place undue reliance on any such forward-looking statements since such statements speak only as of the date when made and there can be no assurance that such forward-looking statements will occur and actual results may differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statement we make. Except as required by law, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether because of new information, future events or otherwise.
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